Research on key technologies and multiscenario application of quantitative prediction of shortterm meteorological disaster risk
Jiang Tao1, He Bin1, Liao Shuihe3, Li Shaoyuan2
1. Meteorological Bureau of Liannan Yao Autonomous County of Guangdong Province,Liannan 511500; 2. Lianzhou Meteorological Bureau of Guangdong Province,Lianzhou 513400; 3. Yangshan Meteorological Bureau of Guangdong Province,Yangshan 513138
Abstract：In order to provide decision-makers and the public with scientific basis for early warning and response before disasters occur,this article constructs a short-term meteorological disaster model through quantitative estimation of key technologies,and compares it with actual meteorological disaster events.The results show that the fitting and accuracy are both above 0.95,and the deviation between the predicted and actual results is less than 0.05%,indicating that the model can be used for short-term meteorological disaster risk assessment.By making reasonable use of key technologies for quantifying short-term meteorological disaster risks and conducting research on multi scenario applications,the accuracy and efficiency of disaster warning and response can be improved,thereby protecting people's lives and property safety.
姜涛, 何彬, 廖水和, 李少远. 短期气象灾害风险定量化预估关键技术和多场景应用研究[J]. 气象水文海洋仪器, 2024, 41(5): 105-108.
Jiang Tao, He Bin, Liao Shuihe, Li Shaoyuan. Research on key technologies and multiscenario application of quantitative prediction of shortterm meteorological disaster risk. Meteorological Hydrological and Marine Instrument, 2024, 41(5): 105-108.
2024, Vol. 41 
